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Red421
33198.0
5406216.1
2337204.5
Blue208
118191.1
2614211.8
1747192.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371356100200300400500600421208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216.10.1
215.9216.0
Auto22.7
Teleop155.1
End38.2
red by 4.3
211.80.4
210.9211.2
Auto24.1
Teleop161.7
End25.3
Second
2337
#24
204.50.1
204.7204.5
Auto22.8
Teleop158.3
End22.5
red by 12.1
1747
#37
192.40.2
192.2192.4
Auto23.4
Teleop145.2
End24.3
Third
33
#30
198.00.3
198.5198.2
Auto20.0
Teleop150.5
End27.1
red by 6.8
118
#40
191.10.3
192.6192.3
Auto24.3
Teleop145.1
End17.7