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Red439
225215.9
2590222.6
1024203.5
Blue223
2771187.8
302200.8
3357218.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions427313100200500600700439223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#18
222.60.0
222.3222.3
Auto21.7
Teleop168.2
End31.5
red by 4.4
3357
#42
218.20.3
218.8218.5
Auto20.5
Teleop169.4
End25.2
Second
225
#23
215.90.0
215.6215.6
Auto23.3
Teleop163.2
End28.6
red by 15.1
302
#17
200.80.1
200.6200.8
Auto18.5
Teleop160.8
End19.8
Third
203.50.2
202.3202.5
Auto21.8
Teleop151.0
End31.6
red by 15.7
187.80.2
187.5187.7
Auto23.3
Teleop140.0
End22.3