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Red327
2834190.0
2337204.5
1218179.2
Blue313
2013176.0
3707209.6
1640191.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38037105001,0001,5002,0002,500327313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#24
204.50.7
206.0205.3
Auto22.8
Teleop158.3
End22.5
blue by 5.2
3707
#14
209.60.5
210.7211.2
Auto20.6
Teleop157.6
End31.3
Second
2834
#61
190.00.4
193.2192.8
Auto20.1
Teleop145.5
End22.6
blue by 1.1
1640
#52
191.00.2
198.6198.4
Auto22.0
Teleop143.8
End23.9
Third
1218
#36
179.20.1
184.1184.2
Auto19.8
Teleop131.0
End30.0
red by 3.2
2013
#66
176.00.1
185.2185.1
Auto23.0
Teleop128.3
End22.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsMissed96%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
58%Face the Boss oddsEarned75%Face the Boss oddsMissed