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Red481
694212.8
1706194.8
1619217.8
Blue90
3940158.4
384183.1
359189.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44532002006008001,00048190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217.80.7
217.8217.1
Auto23.5
Teleop160.9
End34.2
red by 28.6
359
#64
189.20.7
206.0205.2
Auto21.8
Teleop141.9
End20.3
Second
694
#15
212.80.1
208.5208.3
Auto22.0
Teleop163.8
End27.9
red by 29.7
384
#22
183.10.0
192.1192.0
Auto19.2
Teleop139.0
End26.7
Third
1706
#27
194.80.6
192.7193.3
Auto24.1
Teleop145.7
End25.1
red by 36.5
3940
#67
158.40.6
168.2168.8
Auto17.7
Teleop126.5
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
80%Face the Boss oddsEarned58%Face the Boss oddsMissed