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Red494
4265175.7
3707209.6
2168199.3
Blue247
234201.9
3847156.9
1747192.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4083280200600800494247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3707
#14
209.60.2
211.2211.1
Auto20.6
Teleop157.6
End31.3
red by 7.7
234
#54
201.90.1
205.2205.4
Auto27.8
Teleop140.4
End33.4
Second
2168
#48
199.30.5
199.1199.5
Auto22.4
Teleop161.0
End15.4
red by 6.9
1747
#37
192.40.1
198.8198.7
Auto23.4
Teleop145.2
End24.3
Third
4265
#53
175.70.0
172.6172.6
Auto21.6
Teleop132.4
End17.2
red by 18.8
3847
#49
156.90.7
159.6158.9
Auto22.4
Teleop116.6
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned99%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
30%Face the Boss oddsEarned42%Face the Boss oddsMissed