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Red231
829170.9
3940158.4
4499159.3
Blue423
88175.0
1710159.5
2481202.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2614130100200300500600700800231423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#69
170.92.8
185.8183.1
Auto19.6
Teleop132.3
End17.2
blue by 32.0
2481
#33
202.90.9
206.7205.8
Auto22.6
Teleop164.3
End15.8
Second
4499
#63
159.30.3
159.2159.6
Auto24.2
Teleop121.0
End18.6
blue by 15.8
88
#34
175.01.3
168.6169.8
Auto22.2
Teleop135.5
End17.5
Third
3940
#67
158.41.5
168.8167.3
Auto17.7
Teleop126.5
End10.0
blue by 1.2
1710
#43
159.50.3
158.7159.0
Auto21.3
Teleop123.4
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed