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Red239
1218179.2
708171.9
245179.9
Blue420
1024203.5
217220.5
3847156.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33541001,0001,5002,000239420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#26
179.91.0
183.2182.3
Auto18.8
Teleop129.9
End33.3
blue by 40.6
217
#10
220.51.0
224.4223.4
Auto21.0
Teleop175.0
End24.3
Second
1218
#36
179.20.5
184.1183.6
Auto19.8
Teleop131.0
End30.0
blue by 24.3
203.50.3
203.4203.1
Auto21.8
Teleop151.0
End31.6
Third
708
#32
171.90.4
172.4172.8
Auto20.2
Teleop126.7
End25.6
red by 15.0
3847
#49
156.91.6
158.9157.3
Auto22.4
Teleop116.6
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
86%Face the Boss oddsMissed25%Face the Boss oddsEarned