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Red277
20164.3
829170.9
4265175.7
Blue548
340207.1
2451186.1
694212.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2444470100200300400500600700277548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#53
175.70.8
172.6173.3
Auto21.6
Teleop132.4
End17.2
blue by 37.1
694
#15
212.80.3
208.8209.0
Auto22.0
Teleop163.8
End27.9
Second
829
#69
170.92.5
183.1180.5
Auto19.6
Teleop132.3
End17.2
blue by 36.3
340
#47
207.10.2
210.1209.9
Auto23.1
Teleop155.4
End27.3
Third
20
#25
164.31.4
168.5167.1
Auto20.5
Teleop125.6
End19.0
blue by 21.8
2451
#19
186.10.5
183.1182.6
Auto19.8
Teleop142.9
End27.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
27%Face the Boss oddsMissed36%Face the Boss oddsEarned