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Red403
2655176.8
359189.2
133209.6
Blue291
4499159.3
2468155.2
494199.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4063150100200500600700403291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#35
209.60.4
212.1211.7
Auto22.1
Teleop152.8
End35.3
red by 10.3
494
#55
199.30.5
206.7206.2
Auto18.1
Teleop155.6
End24.5
Second
359
#64
189.23.5
202.6199.2
Auto21.8
Teleop141.9
End20.3
red by 30.0
4499
#63
159.30.1
159.6159.5
Auto24.2
Teleop121.0
End18.6
Third
2655
#21
176.80.7
176.8177.4
Auto23.8
Teleop135.1
End18.1
red by 21.7
2468
#68
155.21.6
161.7160.1
Auto18.6
Teleop117.1
End20.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
99%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
84%Face the Boss oddsEarned21%Face the Boss oddsMissed