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Red250
1747192.4
1710159.5
3478205.4
Blue361
2056250.9
2771187.8
3452193.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31941302006008001,0001,200250361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3478
#38
205.40.2
209.7209.9
Auto23.6
Teleop158.6
End22.7
blue by 45.5
250.90.5
253.9253.5
Auto26.5
Teleop184.2
End38.9
Second
1747
#37
192.41.2
198.7197.5
Auto23.4
Teleop145.2
End24.3
blue by 0.6
3452
#46
193.00.8
200.0199.2
Auto19.9
Teleop142.4
End28.4
Third
1710
#43
159.50.5
159.0159.6
Auto21.3
Teleop123.4
End17.4
blue by 28.2
187.80.3
189.9189.5
Auto23.3
Teleop140.0
End22.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsMissed98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsEarned99%Face the Boss oddsEarned