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Red157
4967168.7
3940158.4
1720137.9
Blue467
2337204.5
2168199.3
3641191.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23445504006008001,000157467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#58
168.70.8
171.1172.0
Auto24.2
Teleop120.3
End22.4
blue by 35.8
2337
#24
204.50.4
204.5204.1
Auto22.8
Teleop158.3
End22.5
Second
3940
#67
158.41.5
167.3165.8
Auto17.7
Teleop126.5
End10.0
blue by 40.9
2168
#48
199.31.1
199.5200.6
Auto22.4
Teleop161.0
End15.4
Third
1720
#70
137.90.1
146.7146.8
Auto19.0
Teleop102.1
End11.6
blue by 53.9
3641
#31
191.80.6
196.2195.6
Auto21.5
Teleop146.4
End25.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsMissed97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
51%Face the Boss oddsMissed31%Face the Boss oddsMissed