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Red451
865191.5
1806188.3
2590222.6
Blue319
2826169.5
4028208.4
1741180.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376380250300350400450500451319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#18
222.63.6
234.6231.0
Auto21.7
Teleop168.2
End31.5
red by 14.2
208.41.0
201.9202.9
Auto23.0
Teleop154.4
End31.0
Second
865
#20
191.50.0
193.2193.2
Auto22.7
Teleop141.3
End28.5
red by 11.3
1741
#65
180.20.4
188.0187.6
Auto22.8
Teleop128.1
End26.2
Third
1806
#29
188.30.6
186.6187.2
Auto22.2
Teleop142.8
End24.1
red by 18.9
2826
#28
169.51.5
170.0171.5
Auto19.4
Teleop124.7
End26.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsMissed84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
93%Face the Boss oddsEarned85%Face the Boss oddsEarned