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Red315
469163.9
1102178.4
868196.5
Blue479
234201.9
225215.9
1731180.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33241802006008001,0001,200315479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#59
196.50.3
201.7202.0
Auto23.0
Teleop145.1
End23.8
blue by 19.4
225
#23
215.90.5
217.9217.4
Auto23.3
Teleop163.2
End28.6
Second
1102
#50
178.41.8
190.9189.1
Auto17.3
Teleop136.5
End22.8
blue by 23.5
234
#54
201.91.0
205.4204.4
Auto27.8
Teleop140.4
End33.4
Third
469
#13
163.90.2
165.3165.4
Auto16.9
Teleop115.1
End34.2
blue by 16.9
1731
#57
180.80.9
188.7187.7
Auto22.5
Teleop133.2
End26.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsMissed98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
53%Face the Boss oddsEarned93%Face the Boss oddsEarned