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Red291
2771187.8
494199.3
4265175.7
Blue496
195249.0
245179.9
6800161.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33938305001,0001,5002,000291496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#55
199.30.6
206.2205.6
Auto18.1
Teleop155.6
End24.5
blue by 49.7
195
#2
249.00.7
242.1242.8
Auto23.9
Teleop188.1
End36.8
Second
187.80.8
189.5188.8
Auto23.3
Teleop140.0
End22.3
red by 7.9
245
#26
179.91.5
182.3180.8
Auto18.8
Teleop129.9
End33.3
Third
4265
#53
175.70.7
173.3174.1
Auto21.6
Teleop132.4
End17.2
red by 14.4
6800
#56
161.21.9
163.8161.9
Auto20.2
Teleop127.9
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
56%Face the Boss oddsEarned73%Face the Boss oddsEarned