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Red435
5254174.6
319223.9
4587193.8
Blue254
384183.1
2655176.8
3641191.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4183130100200500600700435254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#3
223.90.2
221.3221.5
Auto25.4
Teleop164.5
End33.5
red by 32.2
3641
#31
191.80.6
195.6195.0
Auto21.5
Teleop146.4
End25.6
Second
4587
#51
193.80.5
198.8198.3
Auto20.2
Teleop145.4
End24.2
red by 10.7
384
#22
183.11.5
188.1186.6
Auto19.2
Teleop139.0
End26.7
Third
5254
#16
174.60.3
173.9173.6
Auto20.0
Teleop129.6
End26.8
blue by 2.2
2655
#21
176.80.7
177.4178.2
Auto23.8
Teleop135.1
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
92%Face the Boss oddsMissed35%Face the Boss oddsMissed