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Red394
3707209.6
624224.6
2056250.9
Blue201
2468155.2
1731180.8
1706194.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4662780100200400500600700394201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250.90.8
253.5252.7
Auto26.5
Teleop184.2
End38.9
red by 56.1
1706
#27
194.80.4
194.7195.1
Auto24.1
Teleop145.7
End25.1
Second
624
#45
224.60.5
232.2231.7
Auto23.5
Teleop163.1
End36.1
red by 43.8
1731
#57
180.80.2
187.7187.5
Auto22.5
Teleop133.2
End26.5
Third
3707
#14
209.60.7
211.7210.9
Auto20.6
Teleop157.6
End31.3
red by 54.5
2468
#68
155.21.5
160.1158.6
Auto18.6
Teleop117.1
End20.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
100%Face the Boss oddsEarned45%Face the Boss oddsMissed