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Red453
4028208.4
1710159.5
694212.8
Blue296
67204.5
133209.6
2834190.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions380371300350400450500453296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#15
212.80.8
209.0209.8
Auto22.0
Teleop163.8
End27.9
red by 3.2
133
#35
209.60.1
211.7211.6
Auto22.1
Teleop152.8
End35.3
Second
208.40.6
202.9203.5
Auto23.0
Teleop154.4
End31.0
red by 3.9
67
#12
204.50.0
206.3206.3
Auto21.2
Teleop145.8
End36.0
Third
1710
#43
159.50.3
159.6159.8
Auto21.3
Teleop123.4
End17.4
blue by 30.4
2834
#61
190.00.3
192.4192.7
Auto20.1
Teleop145.5
End22.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
50%Face the Boss oddsMissed98%Face the Boss oddsEarned