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Red229
829170.9
708171.9
2013176.0
Blue426
4944173.9
2791194.1
4967168.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351381100200300500229426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#66
176.01.3
183.0181.7
Auto23.0
Teleop128.3
End22.0
blue by 18.1
2791
#44
194.11.9
196.4194.6
Auto19.7
Teleop148.8
End23.6
Second
708
#32
171.90.4
172.8172.5
Auto20.2
Teleop126.7
End25.6
blue by 2.0
4944
#41
173.90.4
173.7174.1
Auto20.6
Teleop132.4
End21.3
Third
829
#69
170.91.9
180.5178.6
Auto19.6
Teleop132.3
End17.2
red by 2.1
4967
#58
168.70.1
172.0171.9
Auto24.2
Teleop120.3
End22.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
38%Face the Boss oddsEarned66%Face the Boss oddsMissed