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Red241
88175.0
2337204.5
865191.5
Blue577
245179.9
1619217.8
2056250.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31841502006008001,0001,2001,400241577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#24
204.50.5
203.0203.5
Auto22.8
Teleop158.3
End22.5
blue by 46.4
250.90.7
251.6250.8
Auto26.5
Teleop184.2
End38.9
Second
865
#20
191.50.1
192.3192.4
Auto22.7
Teleop141.3
End28.5
blue by 26.3
217.80.3
216.4216.7
Auto23.5
Teleop160.9
End34.2
Third
88
#34
175.01.4
173.2174.6
Auto22.2
Teleop135.5
End17.5
blue by 4.9
245
#26
179.90.5
180.4179.8
Auto18.8
Teleop129.9
End33.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
34%Face the Boss oddsEarned100%Face the Boss oddsEarned