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Red296
1741180.2
868196.5
1710159.5
Blue378
4265175.7
302200.8
708171.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37535802006008001,0001,200296378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#59
196.51.0
201.1200.0
Auto23.0
Teleop145.1
End23.8
blue by 4.3
302
#17
200.80.2
200.8200.6
Auto18.5
Teleop160.8
End19.8
Second
1741
#65
180.20.8
186.2185.5
Auto22.8
Teleop128.1
End26.2
red by 4.6
4265
#53
175.70.1
174.5174.6
Auto21.6
Teleop132.4
End17.2
Third
1710
#43
159.50.2
160.6160.4
Auto21.3
Teleop123.4
End17.4
blue by 12.4
708
#32
171.90.3
171.6171.3
Auto20.2
Teleop126.7
End25.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
56%Face the Boss oddsMissed27%Face the Boss oddsMissed