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Red291
624224.6
1218179.2
2826169.5
Blue473
3940158.4
5406216.1
319223.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36039305001,0001,5002,000291473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#45
224.61.4
230.9229.5
Auto23.5
Teleop163.1
End36.1
red by 0.6
319
#3
223.90.0
221.7221.7
Auto25.4
Teleop164.5
End33.5
Second
1218
#36
179.20.6
181.0180.4
Auto19.8
Teleop131.0
End30.0
blue by 37.0
216.10.3
214.2213.9
Auto22.7
Teleop155.1
End38.2
Third
2826
#28
169.50.8
172.6171.9
Auto19.4
Teleop124.7
End26.2
red by 11.1
3940
#67
158.41.8
162.4160.7
Auto17.7
Teleop126.5
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsMissed97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
94%Face the Boss oddsEarned86%Face the Boss oddsEarned