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Red368
118191.1
217220.5
2771187.8
Blue311
2363152.2
4499159.3
2451186.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4422600100200300400500600700368311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#10
220.50.2
222.8222.6
Auto21.0
Teleop175.0
End24.3
red by 34.4
2451
#19
186.10.4
183.2183.6
Auto19.8
Teleop142.9
End27.8
Second
118
#40
191.10.5
198.2197.6
Auto24.3
Teleop145.1
End17.7
red by 31.9
4499
#63
159.30.1
158.4158.5
Auto24.2
Teleop121.0
End18.6
Third
187.80.0
188.1188.0
Auto23.3
Teleop140.0
End22.3
red by 35.6
2363
#62
152.22.3
158.2155.8
Auto21.3
Teleop117.3
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
88%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned