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Red284
2826169.5
1619217.8
469163.9
Blue423
3641191.8
195249.0
1710159.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3054180200600800284423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217.80.5
216.7217.2
Auto23.5
Teleop160.9
End34.2
blue by 31.2
195
#2
249.01.0
245.5246.5
Auto23.9
Teleop188.1
End36.8
Second
2826
#28
169.51.0
171.9170.9
Auto19.4
Teleop124.7
End26.2
blue by 22.3
3641
#31
191.80.4
192.6192.2
Auto21.5
Teleop146.4
End25.6
Third
469
#13
163.90.1
163.6163.6
Auto16.9
Teleop115.1
End34.2
red by 4.4
1710
#43
159.50.6
160.4159.8
Auto21.3
Teleop123.4
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
95%Face the Boss oddsEarned76%Face the Boss oddsEarned