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Red407
4944173.9
2590222.6
1024203.5
Blue286
624224.6
4499159.3
2614211.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375385250300350400450407286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#18
222.61.4
225.1223.7
Auto21.7
Teleop168.2
End31.5
blue by 2.0
624
#45
224.61.5
229.5228.0
Auto23.5
Teleop163.1
End36.1
Second
203.50.1
200.9201.0
Auto21.8
Teleop151.0
End31.6
blue by 8.4
211.81.8
207.0208.8
Auto24.1
Teleop161.7
End25.3
Third
4944
#41
173.90.8
175.3174.5
Auto20.6
Teleop132.4
End21.3
red by 14.6
4499
#63
159.30.7
158.5159.2
Auto24.2
Teleop121.0
End18.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned99%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
82%Face the Boss oddsEarned66%Face the Boss oddsEarned