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Red423
2363152.2
67204.5
2056250.9
Blue307
2168199.3
2451186.1
829170.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4193100100200500600700423307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250.90.3
250.8250.5
Auto26.5
Teleop184.2
End38.9
red by 51.6
2168
#48
199.30.0
200.7200.7
Auto22.4
Teleop161.0
End15.4
Second
67
#12
204.50.5
205.4204.9
Auto21.2
Teleop145.8
End36.0
red by 18.4
2451
#19
186.10.9
183.6184.5
Auto19.8
Teleop142.9
End27.8
Third
2363
#62
152.21.3
155.8154.5
Auto21.3
Teleop117.3
End14.5
blue by 18.7
829
#69
170.91.2
175.2174.0
Auto19.6
Teleop132.3
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
99%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
99%Face the Boss oddsEarned20%Face the Boss oddsEarned