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Red413
217220.5
2337204.5
5406216.1
Blue253
225215.9
694212.8
33198.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369379200250300350400450500550413253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#10
220.50.7
222.6222.0
Auto21.0
Teleop175.0
End24.3
red by 4.7
225
#23
215.90.1
217.3217.5
Auto23.3
Teleop163.2
End28.6
Second
216.10.3
213.9214.2
Auto22.7
Teleop155.1
End38.2
red by 3.4
694
#15
212.81.0
211.7212.7
Auto22.0
Teleop163.8
End27.9
Third
2337
#24
204.50.1
203.5203.6
Auto22.8
Teleop158.3
End22.5
red by 6.5
33
#30
198.00.1
200.0200.2
Auto20.0
Teleop150.5
End27.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned99%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
90%Face the Boss oddsEarned81%Face the Boss oddsMissed