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Red455
319223.9
245179.9
2481202.9
Blue321
340207.1
1806188.3
359189.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4053310100200300500600700455321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#3
223.90.5
221.7222.2
Auto25.4
Teleop164.5
End33.5
red by 16.8
340
#47
207.10.5
209.6209.0
Auto23.1
Teleop155.4
End27.3
Second
2481
#33
202.90.7
204.6203.9
Auto22.6
Teleop164.3
End15.8
red by 13.7
359
#64
189.21.3
192.9191.7
Auto21.8
Teleop141.9
End20.3
Third
245
#26
179.90.1
179.8179.7
Auto18.8
Teleop129.9
End33.3
blue by 8.4
1806
#29
188.30.7
188.3189.0
Auto22.2
Teleop142.8
End24.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
69%Face the Boss oddsEarned61%Face the Boss oddsMissed