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Red289
2168199.3
1640191.0
2791194.1
Blue394
1710159.5
1024203.5
5406216.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3833480100200300500600700289394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
#48
199.30.1
200.7200.8
Auto22.4
Teleop161.0
End15.4
blue by 16.8
216.10.5
214.2214.7
Auto22.7
Teleop155.1
End38.2
Second
2791
#44
194.10.6
193.6194.2
Auto19.7
Teleop148.8
End23.6
blue by 9.4
203.50.2
201.0201.2
Auto21.8
Teleop151.0
End31.6
Third
1640
#52
191.00.3
192.1191.9
Auto22.0
Teleop143.8
End23.9
red by 31.5
1710
#43
159.50.5
159.8159.3
Auto21.3
Teleop123.4
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
32%Face the Boss oddsMissed80%Face the Boss oddsEarned