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Red195
829170.9
3452193.0
868196.5
Blue454
4028208.4
1619217.8
2614211.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3044630100200400500600700195454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#59
196.50.5
198.8198.3
Auto23.0
Teleop145.1
End23.8
blue by 21.3
217.80.4
217.2217.6
Auto23.5
Teleop160.9
End34.2
Second
3452
#46
193.00.2
194.7194.6
Auto19.9
Teleop142.4
End28.4
blue by 18.8
211.80.9
208.8209.7
Auto24.1
Teleop161.7
End25.3
Third
829
#69
170.90.9
174.0173.0
Auto19.6
Teleop132.3
End17.2
blue by 37.5
208.41.1
206.7207.8
Auto23.0
Teleop154.4
End31.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsMissed96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
83%Face the Boss oddsMissed95%Face the Boss oddsEarned