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Red438
2056250.9
1720137.9
694212.8
Blue291
4499159.3
2826169.5
234201.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4512810100200400500600700438291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250.90.0
250.5250.5
Auto26.5
Teleop184.2
End38.9
red by 49.0
234
#54
201.90.5
202.7202.2
Auto27.8
Teleop140.4
End33.4
Second
694
#15
212.80.1
212.7212.6
Auto22.0
Teleop163.8
End27.9
red by 43.3
2826
#28
169.50.8
170.9170.0
Auto19.4
Teleop124.7
End26.2
Third
1720
#70
137.91.7
140.7139.0
Auto19.0
Teleop102.1
End11.6
blue by 21.4
4499
#63
159.30.0
159.2159.2
Auto24.2
Teleop121.0
End18.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
92%Face the Boss oddsEarned54%Face the Boss oddsEarned