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Red304
1731180.8
359189.2
67204.5
Blue420
2013176.0
3538212.5
4265175.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3843540100200300500600304420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#12
204.50.1
204.9204.8
Auto21.2
Teleop145.8
End36.0
blue by 8.0
3538
#39
212.50.4
212.8212.5
Auto22.6
Teleop165.0
End21.8
Second
359
#64
189.21.2
191.7190.5
Auto21.8
Teleop141.9
End20.3
red by 13.3
2013
#66
176.00.8
177.2176.3
Auto23.0
Teleop128.3
End22.0
Third
1731
#57
180.81.6
184.0182.4
Auto22.5
Teleop133.2
End26.5
red by 5.1
4265
#53
175.70.2
175.0175.2
Auto21.6
Teleop132.4
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
99%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
95%Face the Boss oddsEarned38%Face the Boss oddsMissed