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Red212
868196.5
6800161.2
3940158.4
Blue453
865191.5
3707209.6
2655176.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3133920100200500600700212453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#59
196.51.8
198.3196.5
Auto23.0
Teleop145.1
End23.8
blue by 13.2
3707
#14
209.60.0
209.2209.2
Auto20.6
Teleop157.6
End31.3
Second
6800
#56
161.20.4
160.8161.2
Auto20.2
Teleop127.9
End15.2
blue by 30.2
865
#20
191.50.5
192.0191.5
Auto22.7
Teleop141.3
End28.5
Third
3940
#67
158.40.4
158.8158.4
Auto17.7
Teleop126.5
End10.0
blue by 18.5
2655
#21
176.80.4
177.2176.8
Auto23.8
Teleop135.1
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed77%Face the Boss oddsEarned