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Red232
217220.5
1706194.8
4028208.4
Blue207
3847156.9
4265175.7
2337204.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4442890100200400500600700800232207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#10
220.50.0
221.7221.6
Auto21.0
Teleop175.0
End24.3
red by 16.1
2337
#24
204.50.8
204.0204.8
Auto22.8
Teleop158.3
End22.5
Second
208.41.0
207.8208.7
Auto23.0
Teleop154.4
End31.0
red by 32.7
4265
#53
175.70.5
175.2175.7
Auto21.6
Teleop132.4
End17.2
Third
1706
#27
194.80.2
195.2195.4
Auto24.1
Teleop145.7
End25.1
red by 37.9
3847
#49
156.90.5
156.4156.9
Auto22.4
Teleop116.6
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
64%Face the Boss oddsEarned23%Face the Boss oddsMissed