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Quarterfinal 1-22018 IROC
Red285
346166.6
2363159.9
339128.7
Blue396
1418160.4
6239124.5
5830115.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3692570100200300500600700285396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#2
166.60.0
166.4166.3
Auto20.8
Teleop116.2
End29.6
red by 6.2
1418
#33
160.40.3
160.9160.6
Auto20.3
Teleop113.9
End25.0
Second
159.90.5
157.0157.5
Auto21.8
Teleop119.0
End21.9
red by 35.4
6239
#11
124.50.6
123.2123.8
Auto13.9
Teleop86.4
End28.0
Third
339
#21
128.70.3
130.0129.7
Auto17.6
Teleop93.6
End16.7
red by 13.4
5830
#17
115.30.3
114.6114.9
Auto15.3
Teleop95.5
End5.9