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Semifinal 1-22018 IROC
Red422
346166.6
2363159.9
339128.7
Blue196
5115116.0
623170.6
540152.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36230802006008001,0001,2001,400422196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#2
166.60.0
166.3→166.3
Auto20.8
Teleop116.2
End29.6
blue by 4.1
623
#7
170.60.3
170.3→170.6
Auto18.6
Teleop121.8
End30.9
Second
2363
#1
159.90.4
158.4→158.8
Auto21.8
Teleop119.0
End21.9
red by 7.7
540
#15
152.10.3
151.8→152.1
Auto17.3
Teleop113.2
End21.2
Third
339
#21
128.70.2
129.1→128.9
Auto17.6
Teleop93.6
End16.7
red by 12.7
5115
#16
116.00.2
116.2→116.0
Auto16.3
Teleop87.6
End11.7