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Qual 182018 IROC
Red404
611149.3
1086148.1
623170.6
Blue110
3373110.4
612150.7
1885160.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3602950100200400500600404110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#7
170.60.2
169.5→169.8
Auto18.6
Teleop121.8
End30.9
red by 10.5
1885
#29
160.11.9
167.3→165.4
Auto17.6
Teleop121.4
End20.2
Second
611
#14
149.30.7
147.5→148.2
Auto17.7
Teleop110.4
End21.1
blue by 1.4
612
#30
150.73.0
168.0→165.0
Auto19.3
Teleop119.2
End10.2
Third
1086
#5
148.10.9
148.2→147.3
Auto27.5
Teleop112.4
End9.6
red by 37.7
3373
#27
110.40.3
115.0→114.8
Auto16.0
Teleop89.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed