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Qual 172018 IROC
Red300
5830115.3
2914105.4
2186125.7
Blue301
620136.5
1731169.3
422150.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1553840100200300500600700800300301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2186
#32
125.70.1
125.0→124.9
Auto13.3
Teleop100.9
End11.9
blue by 43.6
1731
#6
169.32.3
176.7→174.4
Auto22.0
Teleop126.0
End21.5
Second
5830
#17
115.30.9
114.7→113.9
Auto15.3
Teleop95.5
End5.9
blue by 35.5
422
#19
150.82.7
161.2→158.5
Auto18.6
Teleop121.9
End7.0
Third
2914
#23
105.42.3
110.7→108.4
Auto14.5
Teleop85.9
End6.6
blue by 31.1
620
#28
136.52.0
143.8→141.7
Auto18.5
Teleop100.1
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
6%Auto Quest oddsMissed87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed