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Qual 162018 IROC
Red94
339128.7
612150.7
9991106.4
Blue206
5549117.2
5115116.0
4472164.8
59%Model gave it41%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334282020040060080094206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
#30
150.71.6
169.5→168.0
Auto19.3
Teleop119.2
End10.2
blue by 14.1
4472
#9
164.81.1
169.5→168.4
Auto19.0
Teleop123.9
End21.2
Second
339
#21
128.72.5
143.8→141.3
Auto17.6
Teleop93.6
End16.7
red by 11.5
5549
#13
117.20.5
119.0→118.5
Auto17.8
Teleop90.0
End11.0
Third
9991
#4
106.48.4
91.9→100.3
Auto11.3
Teleop86.9
End10.8
blue by 9.6
5115
#16
116.01.8
124.8→123.1
Auto16.3
Teleop87.6
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsMissed55%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed