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Qual 152018 IROC
Red142
4099139.5
1123107.2
1418160.4
Blue400
1389110.1
623170.6
2363159.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31033202004006008001,000142400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#33
160.42.2
173.0170.7
Auto20.3
Teleop113.9
End25.0
blue by 10.2
623
#7
170.60.3
169.8169.5
Auto18.6
Teleop121.8
End30.9
Second
139.50.5
138.3138.8
Auto18.4
Teleop109.4
End11.9
blue by 20.4
159.90.3
152.4152.8
Auto21.8
Teleop119.0
End21.9
Third
1123
#20
107.20.1
110.7110.7
Auto15.6
Teleop81.7
End11.0
blue by 3.0
1389
#31
110.10.7
112.3111.6
Auto19.7
Teleop80.6
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed67%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed20%Face the Boss oddsMissed