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Qual 212018 IROC
Red180
2914105.4
4514121.2
540152.1
Blue258
5549117.2
122147.1
1389110.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289282150200250350400450180258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
540
#15
152.11.0
150.1→151.1
Auto17.3
Teleop113.2
End21.2
red by 5.1
122
#3
147.10.9
147.2→146.3
Auto16.2
Teleop119.3
End12.5
Second
4514
#18
121.20.1
123.1→123.0
Auto14.3
Teleop95.9
End8.0
red by 4.0
5549
#13
117.20.7
118.5→117.8
Auto17.8
Teleop90.0
End11.0
Third
2914
#23
105.41.2
108.4→107.2
Auto14.5
Teleop85.9
End6.6
blue by 4.7
1389
#31
110.10.1
111.6→111.5
Auto19.7
Teleop80.6
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed