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Qual 222018 IROC
Red283
9991106.4
346166.6
620136.5
Blue148
1123107.2
339128.7
888164.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3322700200400600800283148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#2
166.61.3
170.2→168.9
Auto20.8
Teleop116.2
End29.6
red by 2.3
888
#12
164.30.5
169.5→169.0
Auto18.7
Teleop121.3
End22.1
Second
620
#28
136.51.7
141.7→140.0
Auto18.5
Teleop100.1
End15.9
red by 7.8
339
#21
128.73.6
141.3→137.7
Auto17.6
Teleop93.6
End16.7
Third
9991
#4
106.41.1
100.3→101.5
Auto11.3
Teleop86.9
End10.8
blue by 0.8
1123
#20
107.20.8
110.7→109.9
Auto15.6
Teleop81.7
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
28%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed