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Qual 232018 IROC
Red173
623170.6
5338153.0
1895139.1
Blue389
122147.1
2363159.9
2914105.4
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3312780200400600800173389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#7
170.60.6
169.8170.3
Auto18.6
Teleop121.8
End30.9
red by 10.7
159.90.9
153.6154.5
Auto21.8
Teleop119.0
End21.9
Second
5338
#26
153.03.0
159.4156.4
Auto16.5
Teleop121.4
End12.4
red by 6.0
122
#3
147.10.8
146.3145.5
Auto16.2
Teleop119.3
End12.5
Third
1895
#22
139.11.2
142.2141.0
Auto17.0
Teleop104.2
End14.0
red by 33.7
2914
#23
105.41.6
107.2105.6
Auto14.5
Teleop85.9
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsMissed57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed