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Qual 252018 IROC
Red317
4472164.8
611149.3
4514121.2
Blue231
2186125.7
620136.5
540152.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3602770200400600800317231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.80.6
167.2166.5
Auto19.0
Teleop123.9
End21.2
red by 12.7
540
#15
152.10.2
151.1151.3
Auto17.3
Teleop113.2
End21.2
Second
611
#14
149.30.9
148.2149.2
Auto17.7
Teleop110.4
End21.1
red by 12.9
620
#28
136.51.9
140.0138.1
Auto18.5
Teleop100.1
End15.9
Third
4514
#18
121.20.7
123.0122.3
Auto14.3
Teleop95.9
End8.0
blue by 4.5
2186
#32
125.70.2
125.5125.8
Auto13.3
Teleop100.9
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed