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Qual 262018 IROC
Red203
612150.7
1389110.1
888164.3
Blue293
3373110.4
422150.8
339128.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3512480100200300400500600203293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#12
164.31.5
169.0→167.6
Auto18.7
Teleop121.3
End22.1
red by 13.5
422
#19
150.82.2
158.5→156.3
Auto18.6
Teleop121.9
End7.0
Second
612
#30
150.73.7
165.0→161.3
Auto19.3
Teleop119.2
End10.2
red by 22.0
339
#21
128.74.0
137.7→133.7
Auto17.6
Teleop93.6
End16.7
Third
1389
#31
110.10.2
111.5→111.3
Auto19.7
Teleop80.6
End11.4
blue by 0.3
3373
#27
110.41.5
114.8→113.3
Auto16.0
Teleop89.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed67%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed