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Qual 272018 IROC
Red234
2068108.4
1731169.3
2537158.9
Blue356
9991106.4
1086148.1
4099139.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33624804006008001,000234356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
#6
169.32.0
174.4→172.4
Auto22.0
Teleop126.0
End21.5
red by 21.2
1086
#5
148.10.4
147.3→146.9
Auto27.5
Teleop112.4
End9.6
Second
2537
#10
158.90.4
160.8→160.3
Auto21.4
Teleop117.6
End18.2
red by 19.4
4099
#8
139.50.6
138.4→137.8
Auto18.4
Teleop109.4
End11.9
Third
2068
#24
108.40.4
107.9→108.3
Auto16.5
Teleop82.2
End10.6
red by 2.0
9991
#4
106.40.6
101.5→100.9
Auto11.3
Teleop86.9
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed