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Qual 282018 IROC
Red362
619123.6
5549117.2
346166.6
Blue192
1418160.4
620136.5
3373110.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3222710100200400500362192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#2
166.60.9
167.4→166.4
Auto20.8
Teleop116.2
End29.6
red by 6.2
1418
#33
160.43.4
168.1→164.7
Auto20.3
Teleop113.9
End25.0
Second
619
#25
123.60.3
123.7→123.4
Auto16.1
Teleop94.1
End12.6
blue by 12.8
620
#28
136.51.7
138.1→136.5
Auto18.5
Teleop100.1
End15.9
Third
5549
#13
117.20.6
117.8→117.1
Auto17.8
Teleop90.0
End11.0
red by 6.7
3373
#27
110.41.4
113.3→111.9
Auto16.0
Teleop89.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed