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Qual 292018 IROC
Red468
888164.3
1885160.1
122147.1
Blue280
4472164.8
4099139.5
2068108.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36327002006008001,000468280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#12
164.32.3
167.6→165.3
Auto18.7
Teleop121.3
End22.1
blue by 0.5
4472
#9
164.81.1
166.5→165.5
Auto19.0
Teleop123.9
End21.2
Second
1885
#29
160.12.0
162.6→160.5
Auto17.6
Teleop121.4
End20.2
red by 20.6
4099
#8
139.50.5
137.8→138.3
Auto18.4
Teleop109.4
End11.9
Third
122
#3
147.10.6
145.5→146.2
Auto16.2
Teleop119.3
End12.5
red by 38.7
2068
#24
108.40.0
108.3→108.4
Auto16.5
Teleop82.2
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed