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Qual 32018 IROC
Red116
339128.7
5549117.2
620136.5
Blue337
611149.3
1895139.1
2068108.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3143260100200400500600116337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#28
136.50.6
146.4→145.8
Auto18.5
Teleop100.1
End15.9
blue by 12.9
611
#14
149.31.4
144.0→145.4
Auto17.7
Teleop110.4
End21.1
Second
339
#21
128.71.7
148.5→146.8
Auto17.6
Teleop93.6
End16.7
blue by 10.5
1895
#22
139.10.3
143.0→142.7
Auto17.0
Teleop104.2
End14.0
Third
5549
#13
117.20.2
120.2→120.5
Auto17.8
Teleop90.0
End11.0
red by 8.8
2068
#24
108.40.4
109.7→109.3
Auto16.5
Teleop82.2
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed