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Qual 42018 IROC
Red245
5830115.3
4514121.2
4099139.5
Blue82
612150.7
2914105.4
619123.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276328020040060080024582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4099
#8
139.50.1
138.4→138.5
Auto18.4
Teleop109.4
End11.9
blue by 11.2
612
#30
150.70.5
172.1→171.6
Auto19.3
Teleop119.2
End10.2
Second
4514
#18
121.22.0
120.6→122.6
Auto14.3
Teleop95.9
End8.0
blue by 2.4
619
#25
123.60.4
126.7→127.1
Auto16.1
Teleop94.1
End12.6
Third
5830
#17
115.30.2
115.0→115.2
Auto15.3
Teleop95.5
End5.9
red by 9.9
2914
#23
105.41.6
115.1→113.5
Auto14.5
Teleop85.9
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed