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Qual 52018 IROC
Red158
122147.1
3373110.4
2186125.7
Blue350
2363159.9
6239124.5
9991106.4
48%Model gave it52%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295298150200250350400450158350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#3
147.10.2
149.2149.1
Auto16.2
Teleop119.3
End12.5
blue by 12.8
159.90.4
152.2151.8
Auto21.8
Teleop119.0
End21.9
Second
2186
#32
125.70.9
124.3125.1
Auto13.3
Teleop100.9
End11.9
red by 1.3
6239
#11
124.50.0
120.8120.8
Auto13.9
Teleop86.4
End28.0
Third
3373
#27
110.40.7
118.4117.7
Auto16.0
Teleop89.5
End3.1
red by 4.1
106.428.6
106.477.7
Auto11.3
Teleop86.9
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed53%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned